You heard it here, first!
Okay, with the elections looming in 9 months ones mind is casting towards the outcome.
One thing we can be sure of is the minor parties will do better than current polling. I remember sitting in the ACT Caucus Room the day after the election was called in 2002 with the Leader and campaign manager making sure we were motivated to at least double the ACT opinion poll of 3.2% (ACT ended on 7.1% on polling night).
So I make these bold predictions:
- ACT will be back with a similar number of MPs as it currently has. (Maybe 1 or 2 less)
- National will get more votes than Labour. (But not many more)
- NZ First will be the biggest minor party.
- United Future will be back with a similar number of MPs.
- Maori Party will create an overhang by getting 1% of the popular vote and winning 5 seats.
- Progressives will have 4 MPs
One things for certain, Winston Peters is going to be the King/Queen maker. Without him, no Government will be able to be formed. Damn!
One thing we can be sure of is the minor parties will do better than current polling. I remember sitting in the ACT Caucus Room the day after the election was called in 2002 with the Leader and campaign manager making sure we were motivated to at least double the ACT opinion poll of 3.2% (ACT ended on 7.1% on polling night).
So I make these bold predictions:
- ACT will be back with a similar number of MPs as it currently has. (Maybe 1 or 2 less)
- National will get more votes than Labour. (But not many more)
- NZ First will be the biggest minor party.
- United Future will be back with a similar number of MPs.
- Maori Party will create an overhang by getting 1% of the popular vote and winning 5 seats.
- Progressives will have 4 MPs
One things for certain, Winston Peters is going to be the King/Queen maker. Without him, no Government will be able to be formed. Damn!

2 Comments:
Yeah all that and the result of the election will be proclaimed by Prime Minister Don Brash from the back of a horde of flying pigs
By
Anonymous, at 4:18 PM
MMM, scary thought that, repeat of 1996 and all...
By
Lewis, at 11:46 PM
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