TVNZ Poll - how it looks

According to the latest TVNZ Poll, Labour are on 45% Support and National are on 38%. Using the raw statistics I show:

Labour retains:

Aoraki, Auckland Central, Banks Peninsula, Chch Central, Chch East, Dunedin North, Dunedin South, East Coast, Hamilton West, Hutt South, Invercargill, Mana, Mangere, Manukau East, Manurewa, Maungakiekie, Mt Albert, Mt Roskill, Napier, New Lynn, New Plymouth, Northcote, Otaki, Palmerston North, Rimutaka, Rongotai, Rotorua, Taupo, Te Atutu, Tukituki, Waimakariri, Wairarapa, Waitakere, Wellington Central, West Coast-Tasman.

National will win off Labour:

Hamilton East, Otago

National to retain:

Bay of Plenty, Clevedon, Clutha-Southland, Coromandel, East Coast Bays, Epsom, Helensville, Ilam, Kaikoura, Nelson, North Shore, Northland, Pakuranga, Piako, Port Waikato, Rakaia, Rangitikei, Rodney, Tamaki, Taranaki-King Country, Whangarei

Labour will win off National:

None

Too close to call

Whanganui (Labour leads by less than 1%)

Incumbent Third Parties to win:

Wigram (Jim Anderton, Progressive)
Ohariu-Belmont (Peter Dunne, United Future)
Tauranga (Winston Peters, NZ First)

Maori Seats results (according to TVNZ Marae Poll):

Maori Party
Te Tai Hauauru (Tariana Turia, Maori Party)
Tamaki-Makurau
Te Tai Tokerau
Te Tai Tonga
Waiariki

Labour
Ikaroa-Rawhiti
Tainui

Party List Results:


Total 125 MPs - Labour and NZ First or Labour and Maori Party to form Government.