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Ellis in Wellyland

Wednesday, August 09, 2006

Sometimes, I just don't get it?

Over on the Frog Blog, they've put up a post that includes the claim that the current Israeli - Hizbollah crisis is an attempt by the US to get Iran's oil.

Here's an excerpt of the reasoning:

"Oil and gas reserves are running out just about everywhere, except in Iran ..."

"Emerging superpowers like China and India need more and more oil ... and may be in a position to make exclusive deals with Iran for access to their oil, shutting out the US."

Okay, with you so far - except Oil and Gas reserves aren't running out (only between a quarter to half of known and predicted oil reserves have been extracted) - but what's this got to do with the current conflict in Lebanon, which doesn't directly involve Iran, China, India or the United States?

"Considering the US’s close ties with Israel, and assuming that a reader’s suggestion that “the US government is 100% convinced that both, Hamas and Hizballah are creatures of Iran and that Iran uses them to undermine US goals in the region” is accurate,

It may be that that hawks are thinking this way: Destroy Lebanon, and destroy Hizbullah, and you reduce Iran’s strategic depth ... leave [Iran] vulnerable to regime change, and a dragooning of Iran back into the US sphere of influence, denying it to China."

(Emphasis added)

Step back a moment and think about the sequence of events to date. Somehow, the US orchestrated Hizbollah into provoking Israel into a conflict to gain control of Iran, even though Bush thinks that the Syrians are the problem state? (and said so to Blair during the overheard conversation in Russia.)

In my opinion - Considering a suggestion is accurate, it may be that it's a complete crock.

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